Sunday, March 31, 2013

2013 MLB Predictions Sure to be Wrong

First the results from the 2012 predictions.  Picked 3/6 division winners and both World Series teams finished in bottom half of their divisions, obviously failing to make the playoffs.  I also missed on all the post season awards, missing the obvious rookie superstars in Trout and Harper.

Now on to the 2013 Predictions:

AL East:
1. Toronto Blue Jays 91-71
2. Tampa Bay Rays 90-72
3. Boston Red Sox 89-73
4. New York Yankees 82-80
5. Baltimore Orioles 81-81

Stacked division.  The O's could actually be a better team and finish last in the division.  The Jays made too many improvements not to jump to the top of the East.  The rest of the division has done what they need to to keep up in the arms race with the Yankees and Red Sox.

AL Central:
1. Detroit Tigers 94-68
2. Cleveland Indians 90-72
3. Kansas City Royals 82-80
4. Chicago White Sox 68-94
5. Minnesota Twins 67-95


The Tigers are good, but improved Indians and Royals teams will be on their heals.  It may be 2014 until the Royals youngsters are ready and the Tribe will still be looking to upgrade the pitching staff.



AL West:

1. LA Angels 93-69
2. Oakland A's 80-82
3. Texas Rangers 79-83
4. Seattle Mariners 72-90
5. Houston Astros 61-101

The Rangers will take a step back after losing Michael Young and Josh Hamilton.  With the addition of Hamilton the Angels are the team to beat.  

NL East:
1. Washington Nationals 93-69
2. Atlanta Braves 90-72
3. Philadelphia Phillies 84-78
4. Miami Marlins 75-87
5. New York Mets 63-99

The young Nats will be hungry after last season's playoff run. 

NL Central:
1. St. Louis Cardinals 87-75
2. Cincinnati Reds 85-77
3. Pittsburgh Pirates 82-80
4. Milwaukee Brewers 77-85
5. Chicago Cubs 64-98

The darkhorse is the Pirates.  Look for them to challenge the Cards and Reds with all three teams between 82-87 wins.

NL West:
1. San Francisco Giants 95-67
2. LA Dodgers 92-70
3. Arizona Diamondbacks 80-82
4. Colorado Rockies 76-86
5. San Diego Padres 68-94

The 2012 World Series champions will not have a letdown season, especially with the hopeful return to form of one time ace Tim Lincecum.  The Dodgers spent a lot of money, but the team won't gel enough to unseat the Giants.

AL Wildcard:
Tampa Bay Rays over Cleveland Indians

AL Divisional Series:
Tampa Bay Rays over Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays over LA Angels

AL Championship Series:
Tampa Bay Rays over Toronto Blue Jays

NL Wildcard:
LA Dodgers over Atlanta Braves

NL Divisional Series:
San Francisco Giants over St. Louis Cardinals
Washington Nationals over LA Dodgers

NL Championship Series:
Washington Nationals over San Francisco Giants

World Series:
Tampa Bays Rays over Washington Nationals

AL Cy Young: Mike Trout, LAA
AL MVP: Justin Verlander, DET
AL ROY: Wil Myers, TAM
AL Comeback: Faus... er Roberto Hernandez!  

NL Cy Young: Stephen Strasburg, WAS
NL MVP: Andrew McCutcheon, PIT
NL ROY: Darin Ruf, PHI
NL Comeback: Troy Tulowitzki, COL

Go Tribe!

 
 

Tuesday, April 3, 2012

2012 MLB Predictions Sure to be Wrong

Below are the 2012 Predictions!

AL East
1. New York Yankees 96-66
2. Tampa Bay Rays 91-71
3. Toronto Blue Jays 87-75
4. Boston Red Sox 85-77
5. Baltimore Orioles 62-100

Look for the Yankees to repeat in the East. The big surprise will be the fall of the Red Sox. A weak rotation and bullpen to go with poor 7-9 hitters will result in the Sox missing playoffs. The Rays are still young but are going to led by a superb rotation. This could be the year that the Blue Jays arrive. Behind the bats of Jose Bautista and Brett Lawrie the Jays will be a powerful offensive team.

AL Central
1. Detroit Tigers 95-67
2. Cleveland Indians 83-79
3. Kansas City Royals 82-80
4. Chicago White Sox 71-91
5. Minnesota Twins 69-93

The Tigers are the clear favorites to win the Central. The addition of Prince Fielder will add to an already strong offensive ball club. The defense will be a concern with Miggy Cabrera at 3rd and Prince at 1st. The Indians look to improve on a disappointing finish to 2011. The Royals may still be a year away, but have a lot of hope for the future.

AL West
2. Texas Rangers 92-70
3. LA Angels 91-71
1. Oakland Athletics 72-90
4. Seattle Mariners 67-95

The Rangers lost CJ Wilson to the Angels but added Japanese phenom Yu Darvish. Will the Angels have the bats to protect free agent signee Albert Pujols? Their rotation will be stellar, but can Jordon Walden overcome a shaky spring?


NL East
1. Philadelphia Phillies 94-68
2. Atlanta Braves 92-70
3. Miami Marlins 88-74
4. Washington Nationals 79-83
5. New York Mets 69-93

The Phillies still have the stellar rotation but a shaky offense will make the division come down to the wire. The Braves look to put last season's late collapse behind them and should be able to with another years of experience. The Marlins have a new name, new stadium, new jerseys, a new manager and some new faces in the lineup, particularly Jose Reyes and look to make a run, but will come up just a bit short.

NL Central
1. Milwaukee Brewers 86-76
2. St. Louis Cardinals 83-79
3. Cincinnati Reds 81-81
4. Pittsburgh Pirates 76-86
5. Chicago Cubs 69-93
6. Houston Astros 62-100

This is unquestionably the weakest division in baseball in 2012. The Brewers lost Prince Fielder, the WS Champion Cards lost Albert Pujols and the Cubs and Astros are in a multi-year rebuilding process.

NL West
1. San Francisco Giants 92-70
2. Arizona Diamondbacks 86-76
3. Colorado Rockies 83-79
4. Los Angeles Dodgers 75-87
5. San Diego Padres 72-90

The Giants return to the top of the division thanks to a strong rotation and a healthy Buster Posey.

AL Wildcard
LA Angels over Tampa Rays

AL Divisional Series

Detroit Tigers 3 Texas Rangers 1
LA Angels 3 NY Yankees 2

AL Championship Series
LA Angels 4 Detroit Tigers 2

NL Wildcard
Atlanta Braves over Miami Marlins

NL Divisional Series

Atlanta Braves 3 San Francisco Giants 2
Philadelphia Phillies 3 Milwaukee Brewers 1

NL Championship Series
Philadelphia Phillies 4 Atlanta Braves 3

World Series

LA Angels 4 Philadelphia Phillies 3

AL Cy Young:
Justin Verlander
AL MVP: Evan Longoria
AL ROY: Jesus Montero

NL Cy Young: Cliff Lee
NL MVP:
Jose Reyes
NL ROY: Zack Cozart

Pujols Repeats!

All this will be wrong and the Indians will win it all!

Tuesday, December 27, 2011

2011 MLB Predictions Review

Wow, those were some atrocious picks.

I managed to pick ONE division winner and only two playoff teams out of eight. The Phillies were the easy pick in the NL East and I had the Yankees winning the Wild Card. Giants-Red Sox World Series proved to be way off base with both teams missing the playoffs. The Twins were picked first in the AL Central and finshed last and the Diamondbacks won the NL West after being picked dead last. I managed to pick zero teams with an exact record but did have the Astros with the worst record in baseball and they were even worse than I predicted.

As far as the accolades go it was another 0'fer but I must say, Hellickson should have won ROY in the AL.

Here's to hoping 2012 fares a little better.

Sunday, April 17, 2011

Tribe Still Rolling!

The Cleveland Indians completed their third sweep in five series this afternoon after beating the Baltimore Orioles 4-2. Fausto Carmona recorded his first win on the season and third quality start in a row after the opening day massacre. At 11-4 the Indians have best record in the American League and start a series with the equally surprising Kansas City Royals (10-5) on Monday.

The Indians are Royals were picked by everyone (myself included!) to be flat out bad. It's no secret that the Royals have a lot of talent in their farm system but the success was supposed to be a couple years away yet. The Royals have been led by homegrown bats. Alex Gordon and Billy Butler are living up to the expectations of being first round draft picks, both hitting over .350 in the early going.

The Tribe has been built on prospects received by trading away the stars of yesteryear. Justin Masterson has been unbeatable in three starts after coming to Cleveland in the Victor Martinez trade. Carlos Carrasco has been getting better each start after being acquired in the Cliff Lee trade. Mitch Talbot was acquired for none other than Kelly Shoppach! Closer Chris Perez came to the Tribe in the Mark DeRosa deal. That is a very young and promising pitching staff.

Looking at the lineup, it is also littered with players acquired by trade. Grady Sizemore was famously acquired in the Bartolo Colon deal in 2002 along with Cliff Lee and Brandon Phillips (gave up on him a little quick). Asdrubal Cabrera, Carlos Santana, Matt LaPorta, Shin-Soo Choo, Michael Brantley, and Travis Hafner also came to Cleveland by way of the trade.

While many people tend to focus on the success of players that the Indians have traded away, they have done a fine job of recognizing and developing young talent for the likes of Cliff Lee, CC Sabathia, and Victor Martinez.

Tuesday, April 12, 2011

Predictions Proving Wrong!

The Cleveland Indians are off to an 8-2 start that no one could have ever predicted. It's not just that they are winning but it is the way that they are winning. They are winning on timely hitting, great starting pitching, a terrific bullpen, and stopper defense.

The Indians have the third best run differential in baseball (+19) and are in the top ten in every offensive category. Take away the opening day disaster and the Indians have the best ERA in baseball and the third best fielding percentage.

Asdrubal Cabrera has been hitting the ball the best he has in his career, with four early season home runs and ten RBI. Fausto Carmona came back from his dismal start in the opener to shut down the Boston Red Sox (my title pick!) last week and the young arms of Masterson, Tomlin, and Talbot have been great in the early going. There aren't many players left on the team from the 2007 team that was one win away from the World Series, but those that are are going to be key during the season. The leadership of Travis Hafner, Asdrubal, Fausto, and Grady Sizemore will be crucial in the team's success. Hopefully Grady can bounce back from injuries the past two seasons and be a key contributor out of the leadoff hole and in centerfield.

Now by no means do I expect the Tribe to play this well all season, but they give reason for hope to a city that hasn't had much luck on it's side the past 50 years. Let's make this an Indian Summer!

Tuesday, March 29, 2011

2011 MLB Predictions Sure to Be Wrong

Well I managed to get 4/8 playoff teams from last year, but did successfully predict Roy Halladay to be a unanimous Cy Young winner! Below are the 2011 Predictions!

AL East
1. Boston Red Sox 96-66
2. New York Yankees 92-70
3. Toronto Blue Jays 88-74
4. Tampa Bay Rays 83-79
5. Baltimore Orioles 68-94

The Red Sox definitely improved from a season ago with the additions of Carl Crawford and Adrian Gonzalez. Their biggest question mark will be whether the bullpen can stay healthy.

AL Central
1. Minnesota Twins 91-71
2. Detroit Tigers 86-76
3. Chicago White Sox 81-81
4. Kansas City Royals 72-90
5. Cleveland Indians 65-97

The Twins are hoping to not only win the division but actually win a playoff series, something that haven't had much luck doing. The Tigers made some key acquisitions and have a young developing pitching staff. The Royals are going to be THE team, but maybe not until 2013 or so.

AL West
1. Oakland Athletics 91-71
2. Texas Rangers 89-73
3. LA Angels 79-83
4. Seattle Mariners 69-93

The Athletics have their new Big 3 in Cahill, Gonzalez, and Anderson, not to mention Dallas Braden who had a perfect game in 2010. The Rangers will have to overcome the loss of Cliff Lee but may have the bats to do it.


NL East
1. Philadelphia Phillies 96-66
2. Atlanta Braves 93-69
3. Florida Marlins 80-82
4. New York Mets 78-84
5. Washington Nationals 65-97

The Phillies should have no problem winning their fourth straight division title with a vaunted rotation of Halladay, Lee, Oswalt, Hamels, and Blanton. The loss of Chase Utley till probably the All-Star break will hurt the offense, but they may not need many runs. The Braves will again be challenging the Phillies with a young and very talented team.

NL Central
1. Cincinnati Reds 88-74
2. Milwaukee Brewers 87-75
3. St. Louis Cardinals 81-81
4. Chicago Cubs 75-87
5. Pittsburgh Pirates 70-92
6. Houston Astros 62-100

The loss of Adam Wainwright won't do the Cardinals any favors. The Brewers made a lot of additions to contend this season before they likely lose Prince Fielder in the offseason.

NL West
1. San Francisco Giants 94-68
2. San Diego Padres 85-77
3. Colorado Rockies 84-78
4. Los Angeles Dodgers 75-87
5. Arizona Diamondbacks 67-95

The Giants should be able to repeat behind the stellar pitching staff and the growth of Buster Posey and potential of Brandon Belt.

AL Divisional Series
Boston Red Sox 3 Minnesota Twins 1
Oakland Athletics 3 New York Yankees 2

AL Championship Series
Boston Red Sox 4 Oakland Athletics 2

NL Divisional Series

San Francisco Giants 3 Atlanta Braves 2
Philadelphia Phillies 3 Cincinnati Reds 1

NL Championship Series
San Francisco Giants 4 Philadelphia Phillies 3

World Series

San Francisco Giants 4 Boston Red Sox 2

AL Cy Young:
C.C. Sabathia
AL MVP: Evan Longoria
AL ROY: Jeremy Hellickson

NL Cy Young: Ubaldo Jimenez
NL MVP:
Prince Fielder
NL ROY: Brandon Belt

The Giants repeat!!

All this will be wrong and the Indians will win it all!

Monday, April 5, 2010

2010 MLB Predictions Sure to Be Wrong!

After nailing five playoff teams and the World Series champs, I look to gain this year!

AL East
1. New York Yankees 97-65
2. Boston Red Sox 95-67
3. Tampay Bay Rays 91-71
4. Toronto Blue Jays 70-92
5. Baltimore Orioles 66-96

The Yankees are again the best team in the league. With the additions of Curtis Granderson and Javier Vazquez they look to be even better in their defense of last seasons World Series. Boston will again be on their tales.

AL Central
1. Minnesota Twins 91-71
2. Cleveland Indians 83-79
3. Chicago White Sox 82-80
4. Detroit Tigers 79-83
5. Kansas City Royals 68-94

After signing Joe Mauer to a long extension the Twins are poised to open the new ballpark with a division winner. While no team in the division is great, four teams have a realistic chance to win it. The Indians are in another rebuilding stretch after trading Cliff Lee and Victor Martinez last season, but do have good young talent and what appears to be a re-born Fausto Carmona.

AL West
1. Seattle Mariners 91-71
2. LA Angels 89-73
3. Texas Rangers 83-79
4. Oakland Athletics 69-93

Did the Mariners do enough this winter to win the division? The big question is how soon they get Cliff Lee back.


NL East
1. Philadelphia Phillies 96-66
2. Atlanta Braves 89-73
3. Florida Marlins 83-79
4. New York Mets 78-84
5. Washington Nationals 64-98

The Phillies should have no problem winning their third straight division. They ousted Cliff Lee only to upgrade with Roy Halladay. The Braves are young and talented, let by rookie Jason Heyward.

NL Central
1. St. Louis Cardinals 90-72
2. Chicago Cubs 83-79
3. Cincinnati Reds 83-79
4. Milwaukee Brewers 75-87
5. Pittsburgh Pirates 70-92
6. Houston Astros 61-101

The Cardinals are again the cream of the crop in this lackluster division. The Reds look to be improved with a young, talented rotation.

NL West
1. Colorado Rockies 92-70
2. San Francisco Giants 89-73
3. Los Angeles Dodgers 83-79
4. Arizona Diamondbacks 74-88
5. San Diego Padres 67-95


The Rockies look to continue on last season's success. The Giants are a team poised to break out, but it may not be till next season. The Dodgers will only go as far as their rotation, and that's not going to be very far.

AL Divisional Series
New York Yankees 3 Seattle Mariners 1
Minnesota Twins 3 Boston Red Sox 2

AL Championship Series
New York Yankees 4 Minnesota Twins 2

NL Divisional Series
Colorado Rockies 3 Atlanta Braves* 2
Philadelphia Phillies 3 St. Louis Cardinals 1
*Braves beat Giants in one game playoff (Hanson over Lincecum)

NL Championship Series
Philadelphia Phillies 4 Colorado Rockies 1

World Series

Philadelphia Phillies 4 New York Yankees 2

AL Cy Young: Jon Lester
AL MVP: Evan Longoria
AL ROY: Austin Jackson

NL Cy Young: Roy Halladay (unanimous)
NL MVP: Albert Pujols
NL ROY: Stephen Strasburg

Roy Halladay leads the Phillies to a World Series!!

All this will wrong and the Indians will win it all!