Wednesday, November 27, 2024

2024 B1G Power Rankings - Week 13

Week 13 has wrapped in the B1G and around the country.  The big takeaway is that everyone not named Oregon and Ohio State is bad at football.  Maybe Notre Dame is good too, Northern Illinois was a long time ago.  It's a shame that the third OSU-Oregon matchup of the season is going to come in the semifinals rather than the national championship.  Three SEC teams lost a third game and others struggled against bad opponents in week 13. 

A check-in on bowl eligibility is below.  Nebraska, Michigan, and USC all won on Saturday, getting to six wins.  Four loss teams Maryland, Northwestern, and UCLA all lost, so will not be able to get to six wins.  Michigan State won to get to five wins.  Wisconsin travels to Iowa and Michigan State hosts Rutgers this week, both the opportunity to get to six wins.

Going Bowling: Oregon, Indiana, Penn State, Ohio State, Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Washington, Rutgers, Nebraska, Michigan, USC

5 wins: Wisconsin, Michigan State

No Bowling: Purdue, UCLA, Maryland, Northwestern

The week 14 slate features eight conference matchups and two out of conference matchups.  USC hosts Notre Dame and UCLA hosts Fresno State.  Most everyone else is in a rivalry game.  Nebraska at Iowa and Minnesota at Wisconsin are on Friday.  

The week 13 B1G Power Rankings are below.  These are based strictly on on-field performance relative to the competition and is not a projection of things to come.  

1. Oregon (11-0) - The Ducks were off and host Washington this week.  They lost to Washington twice last season and Coach Dan Lanning is not going to take it easy on the Huskies if given the chance.  They've already clinched a spot in the B1G Championship game and are looking to finish the season as the only undefeated team in the country.  
2. Ohio State (10-1) - The Bucks suffocated Indiana with an efficient offense, great defense, and a few big special teams plays.  The focus immediately turns to The Game, where the Buckeyes have lost three in a row.  It's a different TTUN but that doesn't tend to matter in this game.  A win and Ohio State heads to Indy for the first time since 2000 to rematch against Oregon, with the #1 seed in the CFP up for grabs.  
3. Penn State (10-1) - The Lions survived at Minnesota.  James Franklin coached like he wanted to win a football game for once with a late fake punt call to seal the game.   They host Maryland this week.  They'll secure a home playoff game with a win.  
4. Indiana (10-1) - The Hoosiers were whooped in Columbus and it looked like the playoff chances may have been gone, until the SEC imploded and their playoff spot is still there.  Open Google and search "coward."  You'll find a picture of Curt Cignetti.  Down 21 in the 4th quarter, across midfield, Indiana punted, rather than going for it.  He put his tail between his legs and was begging to not be left out of the playoff.  Thanks to the SEC, all that stands between Indiana and a playoff spot is a 1-10 Purdue team.
5. Illinois (8-3) - The Illini had a miracle win against Rutgers, scoring the winning TD with four seconds left to escape Piscataway with a win and they're in the drivers seat for the Cheez-it Citrus Bowl with a win at Wrigley Field on Saturday.
6. Iowa (7-4) - The Hawkeyes beat Maryland with their fifth quarterback and continue to do Iowa things.  Cade McNamara was never going to lead them to 10 wins, but a competent, healthy, offense may have lead to a pretty successful season.  They host Nebraska on Friday night.
7. Minnesota (6-5) - The Gophers fell to Penn State in a great game, 26-25, though I'm not sure PJ Fleck wanted to win the game after kicking a field goal from inside the ten with five minutes left.  They travel to Wisconsin on Friday.
8. Washington (6-5) - The Huskies were off and travel to Oregon on Saturday. 
9. Xichigan (6-5) - The weasels were leading Northwestern 10-6 late in the 2nd quarter, before pulling away and winning 50-6.  Their previous high total of the season was 30 points in week one.  This team is bad, it's been bad all year and they'll lose by 50 in Columbus this weekend.    
10. Rutgers (6-5) - Greg Schiano iced the kicker against Illinois.  After a horrible effort after the timeout was called, Brett Bielema decided to go for it instead and the Illini scored the winning touchdown.  It was a disappointing loss for the Scarlet Knights.  They travel to Michigan State this Saturday.
11. USC (6-5) - The Trojans beat UCLA, coming back from a 4th quarter deficit.  A disappointing season can end on high note this Saturday, as Notre Dame comes to town with playoff aspirations.  
12. Nebraska (6-5) - BOWL ELIGIBLE NEBRASKA CORNHUSKERS!! The high powered Dan Holgersen offesnes erupted for 44 points and 473 yards against Wisconsin.  The longest bowl drought in the power four is over!  They travel to Iowa this Friday.
13. Wisconsin (5-6) - The Badgers never lead, in dropping their fourth game in a row.  Bowl eligibility is in the balance as they host Minnesota on Friday night.  The offense looked a little better after firing Phil Longo, but it's going to be an interesting off-season for Luke Fickell.
14. Michigan State (5-6) - The Spartans held off a Purdue comeback to win 24-17 after leading 24-3 at halftime.  They host Rutgers this Saturday needing a win for bowl eligibility.
15. UCLA (4-7) - The Bruins lost to rival USC and will be sitting at home this bowl season.  A nice late season run gives some hope going in to next season.  They host Fresno State this Saturday.
16. Maryland (4-7) - The Terps are still bad, losing to Iowa.  They travel to Penn State this weekend with hopes to keep the Nittany Lions out of the playoff.  
17. Northwestern (4-7) - The Wildcats were thumped at Xichigan, which means they are really really bad.  They host Illinois at Wrigley Field this weekend.  
18. Purdue (1-10) - The Boilermakers came back in the 2nd half before ultimately falling at Michigan State.  They travel to Indiana on Saturday night and will lose by 60.  

Tuesday, November 19, 2024

2024 B1G Power Rankings - Week 12

Week 12 has wrapped in the B1G.   Oregon barely survived in Madison and USC beat Nebraska in a matchup of once promising teams.  

A check-in on bowl eligibility is below.  Washington and Rutgers got their sixth win.  Michigan hosts Northwestern in this week, with a chance to get there.  Wisconsin and Nebraska square off, both at 5-5, so it's safe to say that one of them will get to six wins!  USC and UCLA square off in a big game for bowl eligibility.  Michigan State should get to five wins this week, as they host Purdue.  

Going Bowling: Oregon, Indiana, Penn State, Ohio State, Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, Washington, Rutgers

5 wins: Wisconsin, Nebraska, Michigan, USC

4 wins: Michigan State, Maryland, Northwestern, UCLA

No Bowling: Purdue

The week 13 slate features eight conference matchups.  Oregon and Washington are off this week.  Michigan State hosts Purdue on Friday night.  

The week 12 B1G Power Rankings are below.  These are based strictly on on-field performance relative to the competition and is not a projection of things to come.  

1. Oregon (11-0) - The Ducks survived in Madison on Saturday night.  They trailed 13-6 going in to the 4th and rallied with a Jordan James touchdown run and a field goal with 2:36 remaining to escape victorious.  Great teams are challenged and come out ahead.  They get a week off before facing Washington in the season finale.  They've clinched a spot in Indy.  They are a strong number one in the country.  
2. Indiana (10-0) - The Hoosiers were off in preparation for a top five battle in Columbus.  Coach Cignetti signed an eight year extension to remain in Bloomington.  Hopefully it works out better than the last coach that committed to a big extension the week before coming to Columbus.  Mel Tucker was out at Michigan State less than two years later.  A good, competitive game and they can punch their ticket to the playoff, no matter what the SEC says.
3. Ohio State (9-1) - Wrigley was a great time.  Now undefeated Indiana comes to town.  The Bucks will be without starting center Seth McLaughlin, who is out for the season with a torn Achilles.  It's a blow to an already banged up offensive line.  The opposing defensive lines will only get better over the next six games.  
4. Penn State (9-1) - The Lions did what they should do against Purdue.  They have a tricky game at Minnesota this week.  Their may not be any margin for a loss.  
5. Illinois (7-3) - The Illini soundly beat Michigan State to continue and impressive season.  They're back in the rankings.  They travel to Rutgers this week in a game that have bowl game placement implications.
6. Iowa (6-4) - The Hawkeyes were off and travel to Maryland this week.
7. Minnesota (6-4) - The Gophers were off and host Penn State this week, looking for an upset.
8. Wisconsin (5-5) - The Badgers blew another Saturday night lead in Madison, this time to the #1 ranked Oregon Ducks.  They mustered only 226 yards of offense and the the Phil Longo experiment is over in for Luke Fickell.  The new look pass happy offense struggled in two seasons.  The Badgers battle Nebraska on Saturday, with both teams looking for that elusive sixth win. 
9. Washington (6-5) - The Huskies beat UCLA on Friday night, improving to 6-0 at home.  They are off this week before traveling to #1 Oregon.
10. Michigan (5-5) - The Wolverines were off and host Northwestern this week, looking for bowl eligibility.   
11. Rutgers (6-4) - They handled business at Maryland to become bowl eligible.  It's been a good recovery after losing four in a row.  They host Illinois this week
12. USC (5-5) - The Trojans were off and host Nebraska this week.  Quarterback Miller Moss has been benched, in favor of UNLV transfer Jayden Maiava.  It's a "spark off" in LA this weekend!
13. UCLA (4-6) - The Bruins three game losing streak came to end as they lost at Washington.  They host USC this week in the Crosstown Showdown rivalry.  They are looking to win in consecutive seasons for the first time since 2014.  
14. Nebraska (5-5) - They Huskers lost at USC.  The offense looked a little better, but that's now four losses in a row and bowl eligibility is up in the air.  They host Wisconsin this week.
15. Michigan State (4-6) - The Spartans were thumped at Illinois. A once promising season has ran in to some road blocks.  They host Purdue this week looking to get back in the win column. 
16. Maryland (4-6) - The Terps lost at home to Rutgers.  They host Iowa this weekend.
17. Northwestern (4-6) - The Wildcats were thumped at Wrigley.  They travel to Michigan this week with slim hopes of a bowl birth. 
18. Purdue (1-9) - The Boilermakers were pounded again for their 9th loss of the season.  They're a really bad football team, but to their credit, they have now lost to the #1, #2, #4, and #6 teams in the country, with #5 on deck in week 14.  Granted it was by a combined 195-17 combined score.  

Wednesday, November 13, 2024

2024 B1G Power Rankings - Week 11

 Week 11 has wrapped in the B1G.  The top four teams all won as Oregon and Indiana improved to 10-0 and Ohio State and Penn State sit at 8-1.  All four teams now have a  >90% chance to make the 12-team playoff.  The SEC has no teams with a greater than 80% chance to make it.  The middle of the conference had a disappointing week as Iowa and Minnesota fell on the road to UCLA and Rutgers.  

A check-in on bowl eligibility is below.  Michigan and Washington were denied their sixth win.  Michigan hosts Northwestern in two weeks, with a chance to get there.  Washington hosts and upstart UCLA team Friday night.  Rutgers upset Minnesota and six wins looks likely, as they have Maryland, Illinois, and Michigan State remaining. UCLA won their third straight and six wins is definitely a possibility with three games remaining.  

Going Bowling: Oregon, Indiana, Penn State, Ohio State, Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota

5 wins: Wisconsin, Nebraska, Michigan, Washington, Rutgers

4 wins: Michigan State, Maryland, USC, Northwestern, UCLA

No Bowling: Purdue

The week 12 slate features seven conference matchups.  Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, and Minnesota are off this week.  Washington hosts UCLA on Friday night.  There really isn't a marquee game this week.  Ohio State travels to Wrigley Field to play Northwestern.  Look for us in the right field rooftops!  Wisconsin gets another home night game against a top team, as Oregon comes to town.  In the preseason, the Nebraska-USC game looked exciting, but now features to middling teams.

The week 11 B1G Power Rankings are below.  These are based strictly on on-field performance relative to the competition and is not a projection of things to come.  

1. Oregon (10-0) - The Ducks beat Maryland.  Maryland was driving with a chance to make it a one score game in the 4th quarter, before a turnover.  They travel to Wisconsin on Saturday night, with the Badgers looking to pull the massive upset.
2. Indiana (10-0) - The Hoosiers didn't look great at times and really struggled to move the ball in the 2nd half, but thanks to an inept Michigan offense, the Hoosiers were able to hold on for a 20-15 victory.  They are off this week before heading to Columbus with a chance to beat the Bucks for the first time since 1988.  The magical season continues for first year coach Kurt Cignetti.
3. Ohio State (8-1) - The Bucks shutout a hapless Purdue team in Columbus.  They travel to Wrigley Field this week to face Northwestern in the Friendly Confines.  The only objective this week is to get in and get out healthy.  The mighty Hoosiers are on deck.
4. Penn State (8-1) - The Lions controlled Washington in the White Out game.  They seemed to fix many of the issues that plagued them the week before.  They should win their last three games and are in great position for a home playoff game.
5. Illinois (6-3) - The Illini were off last week and host Michigan State this week.
6. Iowa (6-4) - Brendon Sullivan went down as Iowa lost at UCLA.  Being on a third, fifth to start the season, quarterback is not a good position for the historically offensively challenged Hawkeyes.  The chance of a 9 win season is now looking ominous.  They are off this week before finishing with Maryland and Nebraska. 
7. Minnesota (6-4) - The Gophers lost a 4th quarter lead at Rutgers.  They struggled to run the ball, finishing with only 35 yards.  They are off this week and host Penn State next week, looking for an upset.
8. Wisconsin (5-4) - The Badgers were off last week and host Oregon on Saturday night in Madison.  
9. Washington (5-5) - Road game equals loss for the Huskies this season.  They were throttled at Penn State.  They host UCLA on Friday night, where they are 5-0 on the season.
10. Michigan (5-5) - The Wolverines had a good 2nd half, as they came back from a 17-3 halftime deficit to make it a game.  They held the Indiana offense at bay in the 2nd half.  Unfortunately for Michigan, the offense is still inept and they couldn't get a crucial touchdown.  They are off this week and host Northwestern next week. 
11. UCLA (4-5) - The Bruins beat Iowa for their third straight win.  They may not be a bad team, as their five losses were all to teams with winning records, two of them undefeated.  They travel to Washington this Friday, looking to take another step towards bowl eligibility.  
12. Rutgers (5-4) - They ended a four game skid, beating Minnesota.  The look to continue the momentum at Maryland this week.
13. Nebraska (5-4) - The Huskers were off and travel to USC this week.  Coach Matt Rhule made a change at offensive coordinator as Marcus Satterfield is out and former WVU and Houston head coach Dana Holgorsen is in.  They are looking for that magical sixth win and are pulling out all the stops to get it.  
14. Michigan State (4-5) - The Spartans were off this week and travel to Illinois this week.  
15. Maryland (4-5) - The Terrapins traveled to Oregon and fell to the Ducks.  They had a chance in the 3rd quarter, but couldn't muster a comeback.  They host Rutgers this week.
16. USC (4-5) - The Trojans were off and host Nebraska this week.  Quarterback Miller Moss has been benched, in favor of UNLV transfer Jayden Maiava.  It's a "spark off" in LA this weekend!
17. Northwestern (4-5) - The Wildcats were off and host Ohio State at Wrigley Field this weekend.  They are looking for a late season push. 
18. Purdue (1-8) - The Boilermakers are a disgrace and Ryan Walters should be fired as soon as the season ends.  They made no attempts to win in Columbus.  They attempted, and missed, a 20-yard field goal in the 1st half, rather than trying for a touchdown.  Sure, you're probably not going to win, but at least try.

Wednesday, November 6, 2024

2024 B1G Power Rankings - Week 10

Week 10 has wrapped in the B1G.  Ohio State went to Happy Valley, pulled up their big boy britches, and came away with a victory won in the trenches.  The final few minutes were a thing of beauty, and why Ohio State is once again the favorites to win the national championship.  After stopping Penn State on four plays from inside the two-yard line, the Bucks took control at the one, with 5:13 remaining.  11 rushes, 58 yards, and Penn State never saw the ball again.  4 yards, 9 yards, 6 yards, 15 yards, 6 yards, 2 yards, 3 yards, 7 yards, 0 yards, 7 yards, kneel.  58 yards, 4 first downs, game over.  

It actually reminded me of the 2007 Ohio State - Illinois game.  Trailing 28-21, Todd Boeckman threw an interception with 8:09 remaining.  Ok, get a stop and try again.  Illinois held the ball for the final 8:09, 16 plays, 5 first downs, and the Bucks never got another chance.  The Juice Williams game.  

A check-in on bowl eligibility is below.  Iowa and Minnesota won to get to six wins.  Nebraska lost their third in a row and may be stuck on five wins.  In 2023 they were 5-3 and never got that sixth win.  This year they were 5-1. With USC, Wisconsin, and Iowa remaining, this years slide may be even worse.  

Going Bowling: Oregon, Indiana, Penn State, Ohio State, Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota

5 wins: Wisconsin, Nebraska, Michigan, Washington

4 wins: Michigan State, Maryland, USC, Rutgers, Northwestern

3 wins: UCLA 

No Bowling: Purdue

The week 11 slate features only six conference matchups.  Illinois, Michigan State, Nebraska, Northwestern, USC, and Wisconsin are all off this week.  Iowa plays at UCLA on Friday night, leaving only five games on Saturday.  The big game of the week is in Bloomington as the undefeated Indiana Hoosiers host defending national champion* Michigan.  The Hoosiers look to win 10 games for the first time in program history!  

The week 10 B1G Power Rankings are below.  These are based strictly on on-field performance relative to the competition and is not a projection of things to come.  

1. Oregon (9-0) - The Ducks handled a bad Michigan team in Ann Arbor.  They host Maryland this week, looking to improve to 10-0.  
2. Indiana (9-0) - The Hoosiers trailed 10-0 to Michigan State, their first deficit of the season.  They scored 47 unanswered to win going away.  Kurtis Rourke was back and looked good. They host Michigan this week, looking to get to 10 wins for the first time in program history. 
3. Ohio State (7-1) - The Bucks went to Happy Valley and came away with a 20-13 win.  They trailed 10-0 out of the gate after a Will Howard pick six.  He's good for a mess up or two every game.  They scored on their next two drives and didn't look back, winning their eighth in a row over Penn State.  They Bucks host Purdue this week in a Big Noon banger.  
4. Penn State (7-1) - The Lions fell to Ohio State for the eighth straight season.  Good news is that after their lose their 9th in a row next season, the Bucks are off the schedule in 2026 and 2027.
5. Iowa (6-3) - The Hawkeyes hosted Wisconsin and scored 40 points for the fourth time this season.  The quarterback switch to Brendon Sullivan has been dividends thus far.  They travel to UCLA on Friday night.  
6. Minnesota (6-3) - The Gophers are still a wagon, after being Illinois and getting to six wins.  They overcame a 4th quarter deficit, winning their fourth game in a row.  They travel to Rutgers this week.
7. Illinois (6-3) - The Illini fell to an upstart Minnesota team.  They are off this week, before finishing with Michigan State, Rutgers, and Northwestern.  
8. Wisconsin (5-4) - The Badgers were clobbered by Iowa to drop their second game in a row.  There has been signs of improvement in Luke Fickell's second year, but the results aren't that reflective.  They are off this week before traveling to Oregon.
9. Washington (5-4) - The Huskies beat USC in Seattle to get their fifth win.  They scored an early 4th quarter touchdown and held on for the victory.  The season has been a success thus far under first year coach Jedd Fisch.  They travel to Penn State in the Whiteout game this week.
10. Michigan (5-4) - The Wolverines were once again horrible, this time losing at home to Oregon.   Things got away from them in the 2nd quarter and Oregon just sat on the ball in the 2nd half.  They travel to Indiana this weekend, looking to upset the undefeated Hoosiers.
11. Nebraska (5-4) - The Huskers are down bad, losing at home to a bad UCLA team.  Matt Rhule isn't making the expected strides in his second season.  They trailed by 20 in the 3rd quarter.  That is unacceptable at home.  They are off this week and will look to regroup for the final stretch, looking for that elusive sixth win.
12. Michigan State (4-5) - The Spartans were up 10-0 early to Indiana, before falling 47-10 to the undefeated Hoosiers.  Aiden Chiles threw another two picks and the Spartans rushed for -36 yards.  That's not going to cut it.  They are off this week and travel to Illinois next week.
13. Maryland (4-4) - The Terrapins were off and travel to Oregon this week.
14. USC (4-5) - The Trojans lost to Washington.  A once promising season has turned in to a disaster for Lincoln Riley.  They are winless on the road in the B1G.  They are off this week and host Nebraska next week.   
15. Rutgers (4-4) - They were off and host Minnesota this week.
16. Northwestern (4-5) - The Wildcats beat Purdue in an overtime thriller.  They are off this week and host Ohio State at Wrigley Field next week.  
17. UCLA (3-5) - The Bruins went to Lincoln and beat a skidding Nebraska team.  It was their second win in a row following a five game losing streak.  They look to make it three in a row against Iowa on Friday night. 
18. Purdue (1-7) - The Boilermakers lost to Northwestern in overtime at home, in probably their only chance for a B1G win.  They travel to Columbus this weekend.